ENGLISH
What word or phrase would be good to use in Esperanto to express the idea of odds, when betting or gambling? "The odds are 3 to 1", "The odds are 1 in a million", "Current odds: 203 on Hank, 341 on Mike", that sort of thing.
ESPERANTO
Kiun vorton aŭ frazon oni uzu en Esperanto por anstataŭigi la anglan vorton odds, en la kunteksto de vetado kaj hazardludoj? "The odds are 3 to 1", "The odds are 1 in a million", "Current odds: 203 on Hank, 341 on Mike", io tia.
La ŝanco estas 1 je miliono.
Nunaj ŝancoj: 203 por Hank, 431 por Mike.
As Ebleco de sukceso (Reta Vortaro). The English plural of odds probably is not always deserving a plural in Esperanto.
Mathematically of course probableco is better.
In English the word "odds" is used in many ways;
Mathematically, the probability of an event A is a number between 0 and 1, while the odds of event A is the probability of event A divided by the probability of not-A. This distinction between odds and probability is not always clear in non-technical English, as the interpretation is often
odds of A is 3 to 1 => probability of A is 1/(1+3)=1/4
odds of A is 1 in 3 => probability of A is 1/3
To make things even more confusing, in sport bettings they use the convention
odds of Liverpool winning is 4.0 => probability of Liverpool winning is 1/4
To my knowledge and after some searching, I believe there is no word in Esperanto for "odds" as a mathematical term. Therefore, I suggest that your translations should be explicit
For the phrase "The odds are 3 to 1" I would write
La probablo/probablece de tio estas 3obla pli granda ol de la mala.
or avoid the odds altogether by writing
La probablo/probableco estas 1/4
Likewise "The odds are one in a million"
La probablo estas 1/1,000,000.
For "Current odds: 203 on Hank, 341 on Mike", I would write
Nuna repagkvanto: 203-obla por Hank, 341-obla por Mike
I think the word you are looking for is "probableco."
